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BEL Belgia - First Division A · Round 3 ·

Lommel vs Westerlo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy42%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości32%
Baseline forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy42% selection probability
Projected score1–1LommelWesterlo
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej50% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
42% / 26% / 32%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Podwójna szansa1274.3%1.35
Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%Goals 2.5Powyżej50%2.00
Tak 54% · Nie 46%Obie drużyny strzeląTak54%1.85
2.69 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Lommel win42%2.38
Remis26%3.85
Westerlo win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lommel1.45

Gospodarze share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%

Westerlo1.24

Goście share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 54% · Nie 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.45
Expected goals
1.24
LommelWesterlo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lommel signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Westerlo signalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lommel vs Westerlo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lommel wygrana 42%,Remis 26%,Westerlo wygrana 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Powyżej 2.5 50% · Current selection Powyżej