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BEL Belgien - 1. division A · Round 3 ·

Lommel vs Westerlo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr42%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr32%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr42% selection probability
Projected score1–1LommelWesterlo
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
42% / 26% / 32%KampresultatHjemmesejr42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dobbeltchance1274.3%1.35
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Begge hold scorerJa54%1.85
2.69 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lommel win42%2.38
Uafgjort26%3.85
Westerlo win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lommel1.45

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Westerlo1.24

Ude share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vundet probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.45
Expected goals
1.24
LommelWesterlo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lommel signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Westerlo signalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lommel vs Westerlo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lommel vundet 42%,Uafgjort 26%,Westerlo vundet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over