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BEL Belgien - 1. division A · Round 3 ·

Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–14.62 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr73%
Uafgjort16%
Udesejr11%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Club BruggeCercle Brugge
Expected goals4.62Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over84% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
73% / 16% / 11%KampresultatHjemmesejr73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cercle Brugge win (10.7%)Dobbeltchance1X89.3%1.12
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Ja 69% · Nej 31%Begge hold scorerJa69%1.45
4.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
11.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Brugge win73%1.371.2772.4%+0.6 pp
Uafgjort16%6.255.5016.7%-0.7 pp
Cercle Brugge win11%9.098.5010.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Brugge3.38

Hjemme share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals4.62Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%

Cercle Brugge1.24

Ude share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 69% · Nej 31%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Club Brugge

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Cercle Brugge

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Vundet probability excluding draw
11%
12
Points from supplied form
3
3.38
Expected goals
1.24
Club BruggeCercle Brugge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Brugge signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cercle Brugge signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Brugge vundet 73%,Uafgjort 16%,Cercle Brugge vundet 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.62 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over