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BEL Belgium First Division A · Final ·

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

Prediction review

Chủ nhà form
Final score2–0Dự đoán 2–1
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng56%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng19%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Trúng
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CharleroiKV Mechelen
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu51% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
56% / 25% / 19%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KV Mechelen win (18.9%)Cơ hội kép1X81.1%1.23
Tài 49% · Xỉu 51%Goals 2.5Xỉu51%1.96
Có 52% · Không 48%Cả hai đội ghi bàn52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
10.1 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCharleroi winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Charleroi win56%1.791.6256.9%-0.9 pp
Hòa25%4.003.7524.6%+0.4 pp
KV Mechelen win19%5.265.0018.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.58

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 49% · Xỉu 51%

KV Mechelen1.06

Khách share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · Không 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalKhách failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Thắng probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.06
CharleroiKV Mechelen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Mechelen signalKhách failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi thắng 56%,Hòa 25%,KV Mechelen thắng 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Tài 2.5 49% · Current selection Xỉu