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BEL Belgie - První divize A · Final ·

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score2–0Předpověď 2–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích56%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů19%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Úspěšná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CharleroiKV Mechelen
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně51% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
56% / 25% / 19%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KV Mechelen win (18.9%)Dvojitá šance1X81.1%1.23
Více 49% · Méně 51%Goals 2.5Méně51%1.96
Ano 52% · Ne 48%Oba týmy skórujíAno52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.1 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCharleroi winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Charleroi win56%1.791.6256.9%-0.9 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7524.6%+0.4 pp
KV Mechelen win19%5.265.0018.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.58

Domácí share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 49% · Méně 51%

KV Mechelen1.06

Hosté share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 52% · Ne 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalHosté failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Výhra probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.06
CharleroiKV Mechelen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Mechelen signalHosté failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi výhra 56%,Remíza 25%,KV Mechelen výhra 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Více 2.5 49% · Current selection Méně