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POL Poland I Liga · Final ·

Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score1–1Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Polonia WarszawaRuch Chorzów
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 27% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Podwójna szansa1272.9%1.37
Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%Goals 2.5Powyżej55%1.82
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
11.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPolonia Warszawa winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warszawa win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Remis27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzów win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warszawa1.49

Gospodarze share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%

Ruch Chorzów1.40

Goście share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Polonia Warszawa

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzów

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Polonia WarszawaRuch Chorzów
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warszawa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzów signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warszawa wygrana 43%,Remis 27%,Ruch Chorzów wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Powyżej 2.5 55% · Current selection Powyżej