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POL Poland I Liga · Final ·

Polonia Varsovie vs Ruch Chorzow

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile43%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Polonia VarsovieRuch Chorzow
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
43% / 27% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Double chance1272.9%1.37
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
11.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPolonia Varsovie winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Varsovie win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Nul27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzow win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Varsovie1.49

Domicile share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Ruch Chorzow1.40

Extérieur share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Polonia Varsovie

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzow

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Polonia VarsovieRuch Chorzow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Varsovie signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzow signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Polonia Varsovie vs Ruch Chorzow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Varsovie victoire 43%,Nul 27%,Ruch Chorzow victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de