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POL Poland I Liga · Partido ·

Polonia Varsovia vs Ruch Chorzów

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local43%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Polonia VarsoviaRuch Chorzów
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
43% / 27% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Doble Oportunidad1272.9%1.37
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
11.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapPolonia Varsovia winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Varsovia win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Ruch Chorzów win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Varsovia1.49

Local share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%

Ruch Chorzów1.40

Visitante share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Polonia Varsovia

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ruch Chorzów

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
1.40
Polonia VarsoviaRuch Chorzów
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Varsovia signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ruch Chorzów signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Polonia Varsovia vs Ruch Chorzów FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Varsovia ganada 43%,Empate 27%,Ruch Chorzów ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de