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MWI Malawi - Super League · Mecz ·

Mitundu Baptist FC vs Karonga United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy44%
Remis31%
Wygrana gości25%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Mitundu Baptist FCKaronga United
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
44% / 31% / 25%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Karonga United win (25.1%)Podwójna szansa1X74.9%1.34
Powyżej 47% · Poniżej 53%Goals 2.5Poniżej53%1.89
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
2.57 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapMitundu Baptist FC winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mitundu Baptist FC win44%2.272.1042.6%+1.4 pp
Remis31%3.232.8031.9%-0.9 pp
Karonga United win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mitundu Baptist FC1.67

Gospodarze share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 47% · Poniżej 53%

Karonga United0.90

Goście share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Mitundu Baptist FC

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Karonga United

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.67
Expected goals
0.90
Mitundu Baptist FCKaronga United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mitundu Baptist FC signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Karonga United signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Mitundu Baptist FC vs Karonga United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mitundu Baptist FC wygrana 44%,Remis 31%,Karonga United wygrana 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Powyżej 2.5 47% · Current selection Poniżej