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MWI マラウイ スーパーリーグ · 試合 ·

ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFC vs カロンガ・ユナイテッド

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利25%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFCカロンガ・ユナイテッド
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 31% / 25%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes カロンガ・ユナイテッド win (25.1%)ダブルチャンス1X74.9%1.34
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.57 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFC winDifference+1.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFC win44%2.272.1042.6%+1.4 pp
引き分け31%3.232.8031.9%-0.9 pp
カロンガ・ユナイテッド win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFC1.67

ホーム share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

カロンガ・ユナイテッド0.90

アウェイ share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFC

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

カロンガ・ユナイテッド

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.67
Expected goals
0.90
ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFCカロンガ・ユナイテッド
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFC signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02カロンガ・ユナイテッド signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFC vs カロンガ・ユナイテッド FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ミトゥンドゥ・バプテストFC 勝ち 44%,引き分け 31%,カロンガ・ユナイテッド 勝ち 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー