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BIH Bosnië & Herzegovina - Prva Liga · Final ·

Sloboda Tuzla vs HNK Tomislav

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–0Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sloboda TuzlaHNK Tomislav
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder69% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 24% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Tomislav win (15.3%)Dubbele Kans1X84.7%1.18
Boven 31% · Onder 69%Goals 2.5Onder69%1.45
Ja 35% · Nee 65%Beide teams scorenNee65%1.54
1.95 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapSloboda Tuzla winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sloboda Tuzla win60%1.671.4861.1%-1.1 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.8023.8%+0.2 pp
HNK Tomislav win15%6.676.0015.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sloboda Tuzla1.31

Thuis share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 31% · Onder 69%

HNK Tomislav0.64

Uit share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nee 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sloboda Tuzla

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

HNK Tomislav

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.64
Sloboda TuzlaHNK Tomislav
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sloboda Tuzla signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Tomislav signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sloboda Tuzla vs HNK Tomislav FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sloboda Tuzla gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 24%,HNK Tomislav gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Boven 2.5 31% · Current selection Onder