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BIH Bosnia-Hertegovina - Prima Liga · Meci ·

Sloboda Tuzla vs HNK Tomislav

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde46%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți22%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sloboda TuzlaHNK Tomislav
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub69% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
46% / 32% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Tomislav win (21.9%)Șansă dublă1X78.1%1.28
Peste 31% · Sub 69%Goals 2.5Sub69%1.45
Da 35% · Nu 65%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65%1.54
1.95 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Sloboda Tuzla win46%2.17
Egal32%3.13
HNK Tomislav win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sloboda Tuzla1.31

Gazde share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 31% · Sub 69%

HNK Tomislav0.64

Oaspeți share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 35% · Nu 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Sloboda Tuzla

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

HNK Tomislav

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.64
Sloboda TuzlaHNK Tomislav
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sloboda Tuzla signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Tomislav signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Sloboda Tuzla vs HNK Tomislav FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sloboda Tuzla câștig 46%,Egal 32%,HNK Tomislav câștig 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Peste 2.5 31% · Current selection Sub