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BIH Bosnia-Erzegovina - Lega 1 · Partita ·

Sloboda Tuzla vs HNK Tomislav

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa54%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite20%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa54% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sloboda TuzlaHNK Tomislav
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto69% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
54% / 27% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Tomislav win (19.7%)Doppia Chance1X80.3%1.25
Sopra 31% · Sotto 69%Goals 2.5Sotto69%1.45
Sì 35% · No 65%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo65%1.54
1.95 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sloboda Tuzla win54%1.851.6753.7%+0.3 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
HNK Tomislav win20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sloboda Tuzla1.31

Casa share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 31% · Sotto 69%

HNK Tomislav0.64

Trasferta share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sloboda Tuzla

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

HNK Tomislav

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.64
Sloboda TuzlaHNK Tomislav
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sloboda Tuzla signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Tomislav signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sloboda Tuzla vs HNK Tomislav FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sloboda Tuzla vinta 54%,Pareggio 27%,HNK Tomislav vinta 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Sopra 2.5 31% · Current selection Sotto