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BIH Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · Fixture ·

Sloboda Tuzla vs HNK Tomislav

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw27%
Away win20%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sloboda TuzlaHNK Tomislav
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 27% / 20%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Tomislav win (19.7%)Double chance1X80.3%1.25
Over 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.95 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sloboda Tuzla win54%1.851.6753.7%+0.3 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
HNK Tomislav win20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sloboda Tuzla1.31

Home share of expected goals 67.2%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 31% · Under 69%

HNK Tomislav0.64

Away share of expected goals 32.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sloboda Tuzla

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

HNK Tomislav

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
0.64
Sloboda TuzlaHNK Tomislav
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sloboda Tuzla signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Tomislav signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sloboda Tuzla vs HNK Tomislav FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sloboda Tuzla win 54%,Draw 27%,HNK Tomislav win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Over 2.5 31% · Current selection Under