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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs CD Choloma

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst28%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1CA Independiente SiguatepequeCD Choloma
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 26% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbele Kans1273.9%1.35
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.73 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Independiente Siguatepeque win46%2.171.9146.5%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.1%
CD Choloma win28%3.573.2527.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Independiente Siguatepeque1.55

Thuis share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

CD Choloma1.18

Uit share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CA Independiente Siguatepeque

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalUit won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CD Choloma

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.55
Expected goals
1.18
CA Independiente SiguatepequeCD Choloma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Independiente Siguatepeque signalUit won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Choloma signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs CD Choloma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Independiente Siguatepeque gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 26%,CD Choloma gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven