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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Wedstrijd ·

Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.12 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst10%
Gelijkspel18%
Uitwinst72%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst72% selection probability
Projected score1–2JuticalpaCD Olimpia
Expected goals3.12Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
10% / 18% / 72%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juticalpa win (10.2%)Dubbele KansX289.8%1.11
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapCD Olimpia winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juticalpa win10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel18%5.565.0018.2%-0.2 pp
CD Olimpia win72%1.391.2771.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juticalpa0.80

Thuis share of expected goals 25.6%

Total expected goals3.12Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

CD Olimpia2.32

Uit share of expected goals 74.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Juticalpa

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CD Olimpia

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
72%
2
Points from supplied form
9
0.80
Expected goals
2.32
JuticalpaCD Olimpia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juticalpa signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Olimpia signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juticalpa gewonnen 10%,Gelijkspel 18%,CD Olimpia gewonnen 72%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven