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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Spiel ·

Juticalpa vs C.D. Olimpia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.12 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg7%
Unentschieden17%
Auswärtssieg76%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg76% selection probability
Projected score1–2JuticalpaC.D. Olimpia
Expected goals3.12Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
7% / 17% / 76%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juticalpa win (7.2%)Doppelte ChanceX292.8%1.08
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenJa50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juticalpa win7%14.2913.007%0.0 pp
Unentschieden17%5.885.5016.4%+0.6 pp
C.D. Olimpia win76%1.321.1876.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juticalpa0.80

Heim share of expected goals 25.6%

Total expected goals3.12Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

C.D. Olimpia2.32

Auswärts share of expected goals 74.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Juticalpa

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

C.D. Olimpia

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
76%
2
Points from supplied form
9
0.80
Expected goals
2.32
JuticalpaC.D. Olimpia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juticalpa signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02C.D. Olimpia signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Juticalpa vs C.D. Olimpia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juticalpa Gewinn 7%,Unentschieden 17%,C.D. Olimpia Gewinn 76%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über