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MOZ Mozambique - Moçambola · Final ·

Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst27%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 46% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferroviario LichingaUD Songo
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 27% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Songo win (26.9%)Dubbele Kans1X73.1%1.37
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Ferroviario Lichinga win46%2.17
Gelijkspel27%3.70
UD Songo win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferroviario Lichinga1.36

Thuis share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

UD Songo0.98

Uit share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ferroviario Lichinga

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

UD Songo

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
Ferroviario LichingaUD Songo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferroviario Lichinga signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Songo signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ferroviario Lichinga vs UD Songo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferroviario Lichinga gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 27%,UD Songo gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder