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MOZ Moçambique - Moçambola · Partida ·

Ferroviário de Lichinga vs UD Songo

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa46%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante27%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ferroviário de LichingaUD Songo
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
46% / 27% / 27%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Songo win (26.9%)Dupla Chance1X73.1%1.37
Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%Goals 2.5Abaixo58%1.72
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Ferroviário de Lichinga win46%2.17
Empate27%3.70
UD Songo win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferroviário de Lichinga1.36

Mandante share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%

UD Songo0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Ferroviário de Lichinga

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

UD Songo

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
Ferroviário de LichingaUD Songo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferroviário de Lichinga signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Songo signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ferroviário de Lichinga vs UD Songo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferroviário de Lichinga ganhou 46%,Empate 27%,UD Songo ganhou 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Acima 2.5 42% · Current selection Abaixo