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ISL Iceland 3 Deild · Wedstrijd ·

Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel21%
Uitwinst38%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Reynir SandgerdiUMF Tindastoll
Expected goals3.62Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven70% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 21% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Dubbele Kans1279.1%1.26
Boven 70% · Onder 30%Goals 2.5Boven70%1.43
Ja 70% · Nee 30%Beide teams scorenJa70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
12.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reynir Sandgerdi win41%2.442.2040.9%
Gelijkspel21%4.764.3320.8%
UMF Tindastoll win38%2.632.3538.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reynir Sandgerdi1.86

Thuis share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals3.62Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 70% · Onder 30%

UMF Tindastoll1.76

Uit share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nee 30%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Reynir Sandgerdi

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

UMF Tindastoll

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalUit won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
1.76
Reynir SandgerdiUMF Tindastoll
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reynir Sandgerdi signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UMF Tindastoll signalUit won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reynir Sandgerdi gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 21%,UMF Tindastoll gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Boven 2.5 70% · Current selection Boven