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ISL Iceland 3 Deild · Kamp ·

Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier41%
Uavgjort21%
Borteseier38%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Reynir SandgerdiUMF Tindastoll
Expected goals3.62Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
41% / 21% / 38%KampresultatHjemmeseier41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Dobbel sjanse1279.1%1.26
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Ja 70% · Nei 30%Begge lag scorerJa70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
12.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Reynir Sandgerdi win41%2.442.2040.9%
Uavgjort21%4.764.3320.8%
UMF Tindastoll win38%2.632.3538.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Reynir Sandgerdi1.86

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals3.62Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

UMF Tindastoll1.76

Borte share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nei 30%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Reynir Sandgerdi

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

UMF Tindastoll

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalBorte won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
1.76
Reynir SandgerdiUMF Tindastoll
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Reynir Sandgerdi signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UMF Tindastoll signalBorte won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Reynir Sandgerdi vs UMF Tindastoll FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Reynir Sandgerdi vunnet 41%,Uavgjort 21%,UMF Tindastoll vunnet 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over