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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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URY Uruguay Segunda · Wedstrijd ·

Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.49 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst35%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Uruguay MontevideoPaysandu FC
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 28% / 35%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dubbele Kans1272.3%1.38
Boven 45% · Onder 55%Goals 2.5Onder55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapUruguay Montevideo winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Uruguay Montevideo win37%2.702.3837.8%-0.8 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp
Paysandu FC win35%2.862.6034.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Uruguay Montevideo1.19

Thuis share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 45% · Onder 55%

Paysandu FC1.30

Uit share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Uruguay Montevideo

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Paysandu FC

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
12
1.19
Expected goals
1.30
Uruguay MontevideoPaysandu FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Uruguay Montevideo signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paysandu FC signalThuis unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Uruguay Montevideo gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 28%,Paysandu FC gewonnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Boven 2.5 45% · Current selection Onder