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URY Uruguay Segunda · Матч ·

Уругвай Монтевидео vs Пайсанду ФК

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.49 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей35%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Уругвай МонтевидеоПайсанду ФК
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 28% / 35%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Двойной шанс1272.3%1.38
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.49 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapУругвай Монтевидео winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Уругвай Монтевидео win37%2.702.3837.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp
Пайсанду ФК win35%2.862.6034.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Уругвай Монтевидео1.19

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

Пайсанду ФК1.30

Гости share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Уругвай Монтевидео

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Пайсанду ФК

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
12
1.19
Expected goals
1.30
Уругвай МонтевидеоПайсанду ФК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Уругвай Монтевидео signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пайсанду ФК signalХозяева unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Уругвай Монтевидео vs Пайсанду ФК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Уругвай Монтевидео выигрыш 37%,Ничья 28%,Пайсанду ФК выигрыш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше