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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT Chile Liga de Primera · Wedstrijd ·

Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Universidad de ConcepcionLa Serena
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 27% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dubbele Kans1272.7%1.38
Boven 43% · Onder 57%Goals 2.5Onder57%1.75
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapLa Serena winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universidad de Concepcion win39%2.562.3539.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
La Serena win34%2.942.7533.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad de Concepcion1.08

Thuis share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 43% · Onder 57%

La Serena1.31

Uit share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Universidad de Concepcion

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

La Serena

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
3
1.08
Expected goals
1.31
Universidad de ConcepcionLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad de Concepcion signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad de Concepcion gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 27%,La Serena gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Boven 2.5 43% · Current selection Onder