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INT Chile - Liga de Primera · Partido ·

Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Universidad de ConcepcionLa Serena
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 27% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doble Oportunidad1272.7%1.38
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapLa Serena winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universidad de Concepcion win39%2.562.3539.3%-0.3 pp
Empate27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
La Serena win34%2.942.7533.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad de Concepcion1.08

Local share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

La Serena1.31

Visitante share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Universidad de Concepcion

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

La Serena

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
3
1.08
Expected goals
1.31
Universidad de ConcepcionLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad de Concepcion signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad de Concepcion ganada 39%,Empate 27%,La Serena ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de