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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Partita ·

Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Universidad de ConcepcionLa Serena
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 27% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doppia Chance1272.7%1.38
Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%Goals 2.5Sotto57%1.75
Sì 49% · No 51%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapLa Serena winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universidad de Concepcion win39%2.562.3539.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
La Serena win34%2.942.7533.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad de Concepcion1.08

Casa share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%

La Serena1.31

Trasferta share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Universidad de Concepcion

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

La Serena

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
3
1.08
Expected goals
1.31
Universidad de ConcepcionLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad de Concepcion signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad de Concepcion vinta 39%,Pareggio 27%,La Serena vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Sopra 2.5 43% · Current selection Sotto