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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Мач ·

Универсидад де Концепцион vs Ла Серена

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина39%
Равен27%
Победа за госта34%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Универсидад де КонцепционЛа Серена
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
39% / 27% / 34%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Двоен шанс1272.7%1.38
Над 43% · Под 57%Goals 2.5Под57%1.75
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapЛа Серена winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Универсидад де Концепцион win39%2.562.3539.3%-0.3 pp
Равен27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
Ла Серена win34%2.942.7533.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Универсидад де Концепцион1.08

Домакин share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 43% · Под 57%

Ла Серена1.31

Гост share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Универсидад де Концепцион

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ла Серена

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
3
1.08
Expected goals
1.31
Универсидад де КонцепционЛа Серена
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Универсидад де Концепцион signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ла Серена signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Универсидад де Концепцион vs Ла Серена FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Универсидад де Концепцион печеливш 39%,Равен 27%,Ла Серена печеливш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Над 2.5 43% · Current selection Под