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NOR Noorwegen - 3. divisjon - Groep 6 · Wedstrijd ·

Gjovik/Lyn vs Lillehammer

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst43%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gjovik/LynLillehammer
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 24% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dubbele Kans1275.8%1.32
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapGjovik/Lyn winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gjovik/Lyn win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Lillehammer win43%2.332.0543.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gjovik/Lyn1.43

Thuis share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Lillehammer1.27

Uit share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Gjovik/Lyn

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Lillehammer

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.43
Expected goals
1.27
Gjovik/LynLillehammer
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gjovik/Lyn signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lillehammer signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Gjovik/Lyn vs Lillehammer FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gjovik/Lyn gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 24%,Lillehammer gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven