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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 6 · Fixture ·

Gjovik/Lyn vs Lillehammer

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw24%
Away win44%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Gjovik/LynLillehammer
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 24% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Double chance1275.8%1.32
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapGjovik/Lyn winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gjovik/Lyn win32%3.132.9031%+1.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Lillehammer win44%2.272.0045%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gjovik/Lyn1.43

Home share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Lillehammer1.27

Away share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gjovik/Lyn

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lillehammer

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.43
Expected goals
1.27
Gjovik/LynLillehammer
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gjovik/Lyn signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lillehammer signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Gjovik/Lyn vs Lillehammer FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gjovik/Lyn win 32%,Draw 24%,Lillehammer win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over