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EUR UEFA Europa League - Kwalificatie · Final ·

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score7–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst62%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst16%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 62% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lech PoznanFC Thun
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
62% / 22% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Thun win (16.4%)Dubbele Kans1X83.6%1.20
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznan win62%1.611.4263.9%
Gelijkspel22%4.554.3321%
FC Thun win16%6.256.0015.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Poznan1.76

Thuis share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

FC Thun0.93

Uit share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lech Poznan

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.93
Lech PoznanFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Poznan signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Poznan gewonnen 62%,Gelijkspel 22%,FC Thun gewonnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven