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EUR UEFA Europa League Qualifying · Final ·

Lech Poznaň vs FC Thun

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score7–0Předpověď 2–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích62%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostů16%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácíchTier B · 62% selection probability
Prediction Úspěšná
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lech PoznaňFC Thun
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více51% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
62% / 22% / 16%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Thun win (16.4%)Dvojitá šance1X83.6%1.20
Více 51% · Méně 49%Goals 2.5Více51%1.96
Ano 52% · Ne 48%Oba týmy skórujíAno52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽádné
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznaň win62%1.611.4263.9%
Remíza22%4.554.3321%
FC Thun win16%6.256.0015.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Poznaň1.76

Domácí share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 51% · Méně 49%

FC Thun0.93

Hosté share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 52% · Ne 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Lech Poznaň

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Výhra probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.93
Lech PoznaňFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Poznaň signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Lech Poznaň vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Poznaň výhra 62%,Remíza 22%,FC Thun výhra 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Více 2.5 51% · Current selection Více