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EUR UEFA Europa League Qualifying · Final ·

Lech Poznań vs FC Thun

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score7–0Ennustus 2–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit62%
Viik22%
Võõrsilvõit16%
Market-based forecastKoduvõitTier B · 62% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lech PoznańFC Thun
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle51% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
62% / 22% / 16%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Thun win (16.4%)Topeltvõimalus1X83.6%1.20
Üle 51% · Alla 49%Goals 2.5Üle51%1.96
Jah 52% · Ei 48%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimPuudub
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznań win62%1.611.4263.9%
Viik22%4.554.3321%
FC Thun win16%6.256.0015.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Poznań1.76

Kodu share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 51% · Alla 49%

FC Thun0.93

Võõras share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 52% · Ei 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Lech Poznań

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Võit probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.93
Lech PoznańFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Poznań signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Lech Poznań vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Poznań võit 62%,Viik 22%,FC Thun võit 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Üle 2.5 51% · Current selection Üle