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EUR UEFA Europa League予選 · Final ·

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score7–0予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利62%
引き分け22%
アウェイ勝利16%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 62% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lech PoznanFC Thun
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
62% / 22% / 16%試合結果ホーム勝利62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Thun win (16.4%)ダブルチャンス1X83.6%1.20
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 52% · いいえ 48%両チーム得点はい52%1.92
2.69 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznan win62%1.611.4263.9%
引き分け22%4.554.3321%
FC Thun win16%6.256.0015.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lech Poznan1.76

ホーム share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

FC Thun0.93

アウェイ share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 52% · いいえ 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

Lech Poznan

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
勝ち probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.76
Expected goals
0.93
Lech PoznanFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lech Poznan signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Lech Poznan vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lech Poznan 勝ち 62%,引き分け 22%,FC Thun 勝ち 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー