Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 22% / 16%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Thun win (16.4%)Double chance1X83.6%1.20
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lech Poznan win62%1.611.4263.9%—
Draw22%4.554.3321%—
FC Thun win16%6.256.0015.1%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 65.4%
Total expected goals2.69Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 34.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchLech Poznan
WWWWL
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchFC Thun
LLWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
62%
Win probability excluding draw
16%12
Points from supplied form
41.76
Expected goals
0.93Lech PoznanFC Thun
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Lech Poznan vs FC Thun FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lech Poznan win 62%，Draw 22%，FC Thun win 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。