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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

FC Emmen vs Roda JC Kerkrade

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC EmmenRoda JC Kerkrade
Expected goals3.10Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 26% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbele Kans1274%1.35
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
11.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Emmen win37%2.702.5536.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6026.2%-0.2 pp
Roda JC Kerkrade win37%2.702.5536.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Emmen1.45

Thuis share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals3.10Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Roda JC Kerkrade1.65

Uit share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Emmen

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Roda JC Kerkrade

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.45
Expected goals
1.65
FC EmmenRoda JC Kerkrade
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Emmen signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roda JC Kerkrade signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Emmen vs Roda JC Kerkrade FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Emmen gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 26%,Roda JC Kerkrade gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven