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WAL Wales - Championship South · Wedstrijd ·

Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–24.39 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Treowen StarsCardiff Draconians
Expected goals4.39Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven81% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 23% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Dubbele Kans1277.2%1.30
Boven 81% · Onder 19%Goals 2.5Boven81%1.23
Ja 79% · Nee 21%Beide teams scorenJa79%1.27
4.39 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Treowen Stars win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Cardiff Draconians win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Treowen Stars2.29

Thuis share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals4.39Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 81% · Onder 19%

Cardiff Draconians2.10

Uit share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 79% · Nee 21%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Treowen Stars

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cardiff Draconians

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.29
Expected goals
2.10
Treowen StarsCardiff Draconians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Treowen Stars signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cardiff Draconians signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Treowen Stars gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 23%,Cardiff Draconians gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · Boven 2.5 81% · Current selection Boven