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WAL Walesi Championship - lõuna · Mäng ·

Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–24.39 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit41%
Viik23%
Võõrsilvõit36%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Treowen StarsCardiff Draconians
Expected goals4.39Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle81% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
41% / 23% / 36%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Topeltvõimalus1277.2%1.30
Üle 81% · Alla 19%Goals 2.5Üle81%1.23
Jah 79% · Ei 21%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah79%1.27
4.39 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
9.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Treowen Stars win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Viik23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Cardiff Draconians win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Treowen Stars2.29

Kodu share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals4.39Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 81% · Alla 19%

Cardiff Draconians2.10

Võõras share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 79% · Ei 21%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Treowen Stars

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu won 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Cardiff Draconians

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Võit probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.29
Expected goals
2.10
Treowen StarsCardiff Draconians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Treowen Stars signalKodu won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cardiff Draconians signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Treowen Stars võit 41%,Viik 23%,Cardiff Draconians võit 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · Üle 2.5 81% · Current selection Üle