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WAL Чемпионат Уэльса - Юг · Матч ·

Треуэн Старз vs Кардифф Драконианс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–24.39 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей36%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Треуэн СтарзКардифф Драконианс
Expected goals4.39Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше81% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 23% / 36%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Двойной шанс1277.2%1.30
Больше 81% · Меньше 19%Goals 2.5Больше81%1.23
Да 79% · Нет 21%Обе забьютДа79%1.27
4.39 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapТреуэн Старз winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Треуэн Старз win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Кардифф Драконианс win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Треуэн Старз2.29

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals4.39Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 81% · Меньше 19%

Кардифф Драконианс2.10

Гости share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 79% · Нет 21%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Треуэн Старз

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Кардифф Драконианс

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.29
Expected goals
2.10
Треуэн СтарзКардифф Драконианс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Треуэн Старз signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кардифф Драконианс signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Треуэн Старз vs Кардифф Драконианс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Треуэн Старз выигрыш 41%,Ничья 23%,Кардифф Драконианс выигрыш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.39 · ТБ 2.5 81% · Current selection Больше