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COL Colombia - Primera B · Wedstrijd ·

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst26%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder50% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 28% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barranquilla FC win (26.1%)Dubbele Kans1X73.9%1.35
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Onder50%2.00
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Patriotas FC win46%2.17
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Barranquilla FC win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Patriotas FC1.66

Thuis share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%

Barranquilla FC1.02

Uit share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Patriotas FC

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Barranquilla FC

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Patriotas FC signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barranquilla FC signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Patriotas FC gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 28%,Barranquilla FC gewonnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Onder