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COL Colombia - Primera B · Match ·

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 28% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barranquilla FC win (26.1%)Dubbelchans1X73.9%1.35
Över 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Patriotas FC win46%2.17
Oavgjort28%3.57
Barranquilla FC win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Patriotas FC1.66

Hemma share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 50% · Under 50%

Barranquilla FC1.02

Borta share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Patriotas FC

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Barranquilla FC

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
Patriotas FCBarranquilla FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Patriotas FC signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barranquilla FC signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Patriotas FC vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 28%,Barranquilla FC vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Över 2.5 50% · Current selection Under