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COL Колумбия - Примера B · Мач ·

Патриотас vs Баранкила

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина46%
Равен28%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина46% selection probability
Projected score2–1ПатриотасБаранкила
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под50% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
46% / 28% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Баранкила win (26.1%)Двоен шанс1X73.9%1.35
Над 50% · Под 50%Goals 2.5Под50%2.00
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Патриотас win46%2.17
Равен28%3.57
Баранкила win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Патриотас1.66

Домакин share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 50% · Под 50%

Баранкила1.02

Гост share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Патриотас

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Баранкила

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
ПатриотасБаранкила
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Патриотас signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Баранкила signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Патриотас vs Баранкила FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Патриотас печеливш 46%,Равен 28%,Баранкила печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Над 2.5 50% · Current selection Под