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COL Κολομβία - Πριμέρα Β · Αγώνας ·

Πατριότας FC vs Μπαρανγκίγια

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου46%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Πατριότας FCΜπαρανγκίγια
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω50% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
46% / 28% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μπαρανγκίγια win (26.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X73.9%1.35
Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%Goals 2.5Κάτω50%2.00
Ναι 52% · Όχι 48%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Πατριότας FC win46%2.17
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Μπαρανγκίγια win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Πατριότας FC1.66

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%

Μπαρανγκίγια1.02

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 52% · Όχι 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Πατριότας FC

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπαρανγκίγια

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.66
Expected goals
1.02
Πατριότας FCΜπαρανγκίγια
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Πατριότας FC signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπαρανγκίγια signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Πατριότας FC vs Μπαρανγκίγια FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Πατριότας FC νίκη 46%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Μπαρανγκίγια νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Άνω 2.5 50% · Current selection Κάτω