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AUS Australia South Australia State League 1 · Wedstrijd ·

Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cumberland UnitedAdelaide Olympic
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 23% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dubbele Kans1276.6%1.31
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapCumberland United winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cumberland United win47%2.131.9047.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp
Adelaide Olympic win29%3.453.1029.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cumberland United1.56

Thuis share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

Adelaide Olympic1.30

Uit share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Cumberland United

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Adelaide Olympic

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.56
Expected goals
1.30
Cumberland UnitedAdelaide Olympic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cumberland United signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Olympic signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cumberland United gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 23%,Adelaide Olympic gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven