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AUS Australia South Australia State League 1 · Fixture ·

Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw23%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cumberland UnitedAdelaide Olympic
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 23% / 29%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.5%Largest probability gapCumberland United winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cumberland United win47%2.131.9047.6%-0.6 pp
Draw23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp
Adelaide Olympic win29%3.453.1029.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cumberland United1.56

Home share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Adelaide Olympic1.30

Away share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cumberland United

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Adelaide Olympic

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.56
Expected goals
1.30
Cumberland UnitedAdelaide Olympic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cumberland United signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Olympic signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cumberland United win 47%,Draw 23%,Adelaide Olympic win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over