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AUS Australia South Australia Premier League · Final ·

Adelaide City vs Playford

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst57%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Adelaide CityPlayford
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 24% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Playford win (19.4%)Dubbele Kans1X80.6%1.24
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.60 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapPlayford winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide City win57%1.751.6056.1%+0.9 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Playford win19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adelaide City1.85

Thuis share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

Playford0.75

Uit share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Adelaide City

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Playford

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.85
Expected goals
0.75
Adelaide CityPlayford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adelaide City signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Playford signalThuis clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Adelaide City vs Playford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adelaide City gewonnen 57%,Gelijkspel 24%,Playford gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder