Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 24% / 19%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Playford win (19.4%)Double chance1X80.6%1.24
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapPlayford winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Adelaide City win57%1.751.6056.1%+0.9 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Playford win19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71.2%
Total expected goals2.60Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 28.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchAdelaide City
WWDWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPlayford
LWLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome clean sheets: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Win probability excluding draw
19%13
Points from supplied form
61.85
Expected goals
0.75Adelaide CityPlayford
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Adelaide City vs Playford FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Adelaide City win 57%，Draw 24%，Playford win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。