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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Sanjoanense vs Beira Mar

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst28%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD SanjoanenseBeira Mar
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 27% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dubbele Kans1272.7%1.38
Boven 43% · Onder 57%Goals 2.5Onder57%1.75
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
AD Sanjoanense win44%2.27
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Beira Mar win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Sanjoanense1.36

Thuis share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 43% · Onder 57%

Beira Mar1.02

Uit share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AD Sanjoanense

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Beira Mar

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
AD SanjoanenseBeira Mar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Sanjoanense signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Beira Mar signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Sanjoanense vs Beira Mar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Sanjoanense gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 27%,Beira Mar gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Boven 2.5 43% · Current selection Onder