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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

AD Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score1–1Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante28%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD SanjoanenseBeira-Mar
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 27% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dupla Chance1272.7%1.38
Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%Goals 2.5Abaixo57%1.75
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
AD Sanjoanense win44%2.27
Empate27%3.70
Beira-Mar win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Sanjoanense1.36

Mandante share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%

Beira-Mar1.02

Visitante share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

AD Sanjoanense

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Beira-Mar

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
AD SanjoanenseBeira-Mar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Sanjoanense signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Beira-Mar signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Sanjoanense ganhou 44%,Empate 27%,Beira-Mar ganhou 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Acima 2.5 43% · Current selection Abaixo