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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

AD Ceuta vs Malaga

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–1Voorspelling 2–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst42%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–2AD CeutaMalaga
Expected goals3.25Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 26% / 42%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dubbele Kans1274.5%1.34
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ceuta win33%3.032.8831.3%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.8%
Malaga win42%2.382.1042.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ceuta1.58

Thuis share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.25Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Malaga1.67

Uit share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punten3

SignalUit unbeaten 4/4

Uit-context · form sequence

Malaga

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Punten8

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.58
Expected goals
1.67
AD CeutaMalaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ceuta signalUit unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malaga signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AD Ceuta vs Malaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ceuta gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 26%,Malaga gewonnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven