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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

AD Ceuta vs Málaga

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.25 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg33%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg42%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg42% selection probability
Projected score2–2AD CeutaMálaga
Expected goals3.25Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
33% / 26% / 42%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doppelte Chance1274.5%1.34
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nein 35%Beide Teams treffenJa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ceuta win33%3.032.8831.3%
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.8%
Málaga win42%2.382.1042.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ceuta1.58

Heim share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.25Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Málaga1.67

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nein 35%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.00pts / match
Gespielt3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punkte3

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/4

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Málaga

2.00pts / match
Gespielt4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Punkte8

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.58
Expected goals
1.67
AD CeutaMálaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ceuta signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Málaga signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AD Ceuta vs Málaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ceuta Gewinn 33%,Unentschieden 26%,Málaga Gewinn 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über